Filipino Cardinal Emerges Favorite to Succeed Pope Francis

Following the death of Pope Francis at age 88, speculation has intensified over his successor, with betting markets and prediction platforms highlighting several frontrunners. Italian Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the Vatican’s Secretary of State, is widely seen as the leading candidate, with odds ranging from 35% to 37% due to his diplomatic experience and reputation as a moderate. Filipino Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle is also a prominent contender, noted for his progressive views and commitment to social justice, while Hungarian Cardinal Péter Erdő and Ghanaian Cardinal Peter Turkson are considered potential compromise candidates representing different theological and geographic backgrounds. The selection process, known as the conclave, will be conducted by cardinals under the age of 80, typically commencing 15 to 20 days after the pope's death. While betting on the next pope is not permitted in the United States, European sportsbooks and prediction markets have seen significant action, reflecting global interest and the unpredictability of the papal election. History shows that predicting the next pope is challenging, as early favorites do not always emerge victorious from the conclave.