Draper, Paul set for Madrid Open fourth round clash

Jack Draper and Tommy Paul are set to face each other for the sixth time in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open, with Draper leading their head-to-head 3-2, though Paul won their most recent encounter at Queen's Club. Draper has shown strong form in Madrid, advancing without dropping a set and benefiting from a walkover against Matteo Berrettini, while Paul has battled through tighter matches, including a three-set win over Karen Khachanov. Draper recently claimed his first ATP Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells and is known for his powerful serve and baseline play, whereas Paul has achieved consistent results with notable quarterfinal and semifinal runs earlier this season. Predictive analytics marginally favor Draper to win, giving him a 53% chance; however, some betting models suggest value in backing Paul due to the available odds. This will be their first meeting on clay, adding an element of unpredictability to the matchup. Both players are regarded as in-form, with Draper considered especially hot entering this contest.