151st Kentucky Derby Anticipates Rainy Conditions

The 2025 Kentucky Derby weekend in Louisville is expected to be affected by rain, with forecasts predicting a wet and potentially muddy track, which could alter race strategies and favor horses with proven ability in such conditions, like American Promise, Publisher, and Coal Battle. Several contenders stand out this year: Journalism is favored after a four-race winning streak, including the Santa Anita Derby, while Burnham Square and Rodriguez are highlighted as strong threats based on recent performances. Trainer D. Wayne Lukas and Bob Baffert have notable entries, with Lukas's American Promise showing recent improvement and Baffert eyeing a record seventh Derby win. The Derby continues to foster regional pride, with Iowa-based Albaugh Family Stables gaining recognition for fielding competitive horses like Catching Freedom and Angel of Empire in recent years. Underdogs remain central to the Derby's appeal, as the race's history is filled with longshot winners who defied the odds—most famously Donerail in 1913. This blend of unpredictable weather, strong contenders, local connections, and the enduring allure of underdogs ensures the Derby remains a captivating spectacle.